Petroleum Pricing - Frequently Asked Questions
- What does regulation of gasoline and diesel fuel in Nova Scotia mean to me?
- Which petroleum products are regulated in Nova Scotia?
- Will the changes always be at the same time? Will it be for the same amount of increase?
- Where does the Regulator get the authority to set the price of gasoline and diesel fuels?
- Who will actually set the prices?
- How is the decision made to change the prices and on what basis?
- What factors influence the world price of oil and gasoline?
- Isn't Canada self-sufficient when it comes to oil and gas? Why can't we just set our own price in
Nova Scotia?
- What happened last September when gasoline prices spiked at $1.39 per-litre in one day?
- What is the government doing to protect consumers from high gasoline prices?
- Why aren't consumers being given notice when the price is going up?
What does regulation of gasoline and diesel fuel in Nova Scotia mean to me?
Regulation will mean different things to different sectors of the industry and for the general public.
For the general motoring public it will mean more stable gasoline and diesel fuel prices where, except for
extraordinary circumstances the price you pay when you go to work in the morning will be, give or take a
penny, the same price you can fill up for when you drive home later that evening.
In fact it won't be unusual for the cost of gasoline and diesel fuel available to the general motoring public
to remain unchanged for up to a week at a time. In the event of disasters like Hurricane Katrina the
price may change more rapidly but other than that the days of two or three price changes in a day are
over.
If you are a gasoline Retailer it will also mean that when international crude prices or other factors drive
the cost of gasoline up you will still be able to make a fair profit instead of being caught in the squeeze
between consumers and gasoline suppliers.
In turn this means that for Nova Scotians in the rural areas of the province, where it's a 10 or 15 minute
drive to buy gasoline, the chances that your local gas station will continue to operate are a little better now.
And that means if you are a senior, or traveling in the winter weather you will still be able to get what
amounts to an essential service in your own community.
Which petroleum products are regulated in Nova Scotia?
In Nova Scotia the cost of all grades (regular, mid-grade, or supreme) of gasoline, whether you choose
self-serve or full-serve will be regulated along with diesel fuels (including low sulphur and soon ultra-low
sulphur). Once you allow for the cost of transportation all Nova Scotians will pay the same price (within a
penny and a half) for regular self-serve gasoline no matter where they live.
Will the changes always be at the same time? Will it be for the same amount of increase?
The price of gasoline is set every week based on the New York Harbour daily spot price. This is the benchmark price for all gasoline sales in eastern Canada and the eastern United States. You can follow the pricing trend by going to www.nymex.com and placing your mouse over the RU symbol.
The price of gasoline will remain unchanged for a period of a week, with an Interrupter review to determine if substantial changes on the world market require a price adjustment. In this case the price will change on the interim Friday.
If markets are stable there will be no need for an interim adjustment.
As an example, a price change took effect at 12:01 a.m. Friday, February 9th and will remain in effect until Friday, February the 23rd, 12:00 a.m.
If market changes over 5 business days result in the average price rising or falling by 4 cent-per-litre or more, then prices would be adjusted on the interim Friday, in this example on Friday, Feb. 16th, at 12:01 a.m.
Where does the Regulator get the authority to set the price of gasoline and diesel fuels?
The regulator's authority for price regulation is contained in the Petroleum Products Pricing Act (Bill 79)
which was passed during the Spring Session of the legislature in 2005.
Under the legislation, the Minister of Service Nova Scotia and Municipal relations can establish regulations
by Order In Council (the provincial Cabinet) that sets the price of petroleum products in Nova Scotia.
The first price setting period will begin on Saturday, July 1, 2006.
Who will actually set the prices?
The Department of Service Nova Scotia and Municipal Regulations has been responsible for Petroleum
Products Pricing Act since it's inception in the Spring of 2005. Now that the Act has been proclaimed the
Department will act as the interim Regulator until November 1st, 2006 when the Nova Scotia Utility And
Review Board will take over authority for gasoline and diesel fuel regulation.
The UARB is a quasi-judicial arms-length body that currently regulates several public utilities and business
operations in Nova Scotia. The Board has indicated it will hold public hearings in relation to gasoline and
diesel pricing in Nova Scotia before assuming it's new mandate as the Regulator.
How is the decision made to change the prices and on what basis?
The interim Regulator (SNSMR) will be setting the price of gasoline and diesel fuel every week in accordance with the approved regulations (which are posted on the government website)
www.gov.ns.ca/snsmr/petroleum
The interim Regulator will be using the New York harbour daily spot price for gasoline and diesel oil as
reported in Platt's, a widely respected industry benchmark available by subscription. A similar benchmark
that the general public can follow at no cost is the NYMEX Daily Spot price www.nymex.com) with the HU
symbol representing gasoline.
Based on this Platt's Daily Spot Price the Regulator will then add on a Fixed Wholesale Margin to cover
Wholesaler costs including a Zone Differential for transportation within the province and a profit margin.
This Fixed Wholesale Margin has been set at six ($.06) cents-per-litre plus the Zone differential ranging
from between three-tenths ($.003) of cent-per litre in Metro Halifax to two cents ($.02) cents-per-litre in
Cape Breton Region.
On top of that the regulator will set a Minimum Retail Margin and a Maximum Retail Margin.
Once taxes are figured in, the Minimum Retail Margin, which has been set at four ($.04) cents-per-litre will
become the Minimum Retail Price a consumer will pay for gasoline in Nova Scotia. In the event the
Retailer has an existing program that reduces the pump price below the Minimum Retail Price consumers
will still to able to enjoy those savings.
The Maximum Retail Margin (which in fact becomes the Maximum Retail Price to the general motoring
public) has been set at one and a half ($.015) cents-per-litre above the Minimum Retail Margin. This
penny and a half is at the discretion of the Retailers and allows for pricing competition between gas
stations.
The Regulator will be monitoring and analysing a variety of local and international market data such as
that provided by MJ Ervin and Associates as well as information it collects under Petroleum Products
Pricing Act to determine that prices remain fair and reasonable or whether a price adjustment is
necessary.
In the event markets are either consistently rising, or falling, the Regulator has the authority to "forward
average" so that increases are smoothed out over time, or so that decreases can be accelerated in terms
of savings for the consumer.
What factors influence the world price of oil and gasoline?
The cost of energy is now the single largest component in manufacturing, and has surpassed the cost of
labour and raw materials. When you also consider emerging industrial nations such as China there is
tremendous demand for gasoline and crude oil.
In fact both of these commodities are traded on global markets virtually 24 hours a day and often
reflect geo-political events that occur well outside our national boarders. At the same time the actual
cost of crude oil is just one factor that determines the price of gasoline.
Other national policies, such as the U.S. intention to stockpile a years supply of crude oil and gasoline
to deal with emergency circumstances, labour unrest in Nigeria also effect the cost of these products,
as does the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries when they meet to set production limits.
In today's world where information travels instantly around the globe these considerations effect
market prices instantly. Oil and gasoline, unlike other products no longer track the marketplace - they predict the market future often for days or weeks ahead.
Other factors include:
- the supply and demand for oil products;
- interruption of supply as a result of geopolitical occurrences such as civil unrest or war;
- natural disasters and weather patterns;
- speculative actions on the part of money managers; and
- seasonal demands that see gasoline spike during the summer vacation season.
Isn't Canada self-sufficient when it comes to oil and gas? Why can't we just set our own price in
Nova Scotia?
Yes. Canada is a net exporter of crude oil on the world marketplace, and while most of what we
export in fact goes to the United States it is sold on the global market at world-prices. Just as any other
product, be it lobsters in Boston, or Christmas trees in Texas, producers naturally sell into the market
willing to offer the best prices.
The reason we pay higher prices is because if we don't compete as consumers, ie: by offering lower than
fair market value, suppliers will simply sell to another customer. That in turn could result in supply
shortages for gasoline and oil here in Nova Scotia.
There are no laws that can force any business to sell into the Nova Scotia marketplace and it is unlikely
that any such law, if it existed, would be enforceable. No firm would sell into a market where sustained
losses are likely. In short, industry withdrawal from the marketplace would occur.
What happened last September when gasoline prices spiked at $1.39 per-litre in one day?
Hurricane Katrina caused unprecedented damage to the oil producing and refining areas of the Gulf of
Mexico. This resulted in dramatic and immediate increases in international market prices and
corresponding increases in the refinery rack or wholesale prices in the region.
What is the government doing to protect consumers from high gasoline prices?
The reality is that consumer demand plays as large a role in high market prices as most other factors.
While it is popular to blame the industry for high prices, international markets decide the market price, not
the oil industry.
The laws of supply and demand are at work and international markets react to such demand. Each
summer when the warm weather sends more people on vacation or to the beach there is increased
demand for gasoline, and that demand means prices go up.
Like most other products you purchase, whether it's bottled water, or a vacation package to Florida in the
winter, or perhaps a new pair of shoes, the market will price to the level at which consumers pay.
In the end consumers as a society have the ability to control their demand in a variety of ways, smaller
cars burn less gas, planning to get as many errands done in one trip as possible, using the air
conditioning only when you have to, sharing a ride or taking a bus - these are always to reduce demand
and at the same time reduce your costs.
Reduced consumer demand when sustained, will be recognized by the market and prices will come
down. Just as importantly they help promote your personal health and protect our environment from
pollutants that increase greenhouse gases and global warming.
Why aren't consumers being given notice when the price is going up?
The purpose of regulation is to provide consumer confidence in that fact they are being treated fairly, and
that prices, while they may be up or down they are justifiable. Part of that responsibility for consumer
protection also relates to ensuring there is supply available for the general motoring public.
Experience in other jurisdictions has indicated that even a price increase of three or four cents
will result in long line-ups that can cause traffic snarls. In some cases where there are smaller rural station
the chance of an actual run-out of gas is possible - leaving emergency vehicles and the general motoring
public without service.
While anyone can follow oil and gas markets that trade in the daily paper and make an educated guess
where prices may go, the Regulator in order to be fair to everyone involved has to make it's changes
"opportunity neutral" or designed to minimize the potential for any party to take unfair advantage of a
dramatic or significant change in price.
Any advance notice could enable consumers to take advantage of retailers or, conversely, afford
wholesalers and retailers the opportunity to take advantage of consumers.
More specifically, if consumers had several days advance notice of a gasoline or diesel price increase,
many consumers would, where possible, plan their purchases around the price change. This would result
in busier-than-normal periods for retailers just prior to a price change and quieter-than-normal periods
following a change.
In meeting the demands of their customers, retailers and wholesalers would incur additional operating
costs to accommodate the shift in business activity. In addition, retailers would attempt to stock up on
inventory at the lower price to be sold at a later date at a higher price. Conversely, in the case of a price
decrease, consumers would delay purchases forcing retailers to take losses on previously purchased
inventory. Minimal advance notice to the wholesaler, retailer and the consumer serves to minimize this
potential.
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